July 02, 2009

The Current Sales Market

In the current home sale market, it might seem ludicrous to make an offer on a listing if it means competing with another buyer. However, multiple offers are on the rise in some markets. But, it doesn't always mean that you need to pay a lot more than the asking price.
Sellers are ever hopeful of receiving multiple offers. These days, this is usually an unrealistic expectation. That is, unless the listing is a prime property in a high-demand neighborhood where few homes are being offered for sale.

Price is a critical part of the equation. Some sellers price their homes low because they need a quick sale. If the price is below market, multiple buyers could step forward with offers. Sometimes an overpriced listing is reduced to market price or below and results in offers from more than one buyer.

Most multiple offers today are on low-end foreclosure properties. Investors make up a large part of the buyers in this segment of the market. In some areas of California and Florida, prices have fallen 40 percent since the market peaked in 2006.

HOUSE HUNTING TIP: Don't shy away from making an offer just because there is more than one offer. In some cases, a dozen or more buyers make offers on foreclosure properties that are listed at bargain prices. But, the highest bidder is not always the winner.

Even in non-distressed-sale situations, multiple offers in today's market don't always result in an overinflated sale price. For instance, a charming older home on a sought-after street in the Crocker Highlands neighborhood of Oakland, Calif., sold after only two weeks on the market with multiple offers. The property was listed for $1.3 million, and sold for $5,000 above that price.

There are far fewer financially qualified buyers in the home-buying market today than there were two years ago due to credit tightening, more rigorous financial qualification requirements and recent stock market losses. In some areas, as many as one-third of home sale transactions fail to close, often due to the inability of buyers to obtain the financing they need.

Sellers who receive more than one offer should carefully consider all aspects of the offers, not merely the offer price. An offer from an all-cash buyer who doesn't need a mortgage to finance the purchase, and who can close quickly, should be taken seriously even if the price is lower than the other offer(s). However, some all-cash buyers -- who are fully aware of their strong position in this market -- feel they are entitled to a major price discount.

Whether or not you'll have success countering for a higher price will depend a lot on the profile of the buyer. Buyers who intend to occupy the property for the long term are more likely to pay more than will investors who base their purchase decisions on the numbers, not their emotions.

THE CLOSING: Sellers should try to keep greed out of their decision when faced with multiple offers. Today's buyers are willing to walk away from a negotiation rather than pay over market value, or it they think the sellers are unreasonable.

Dian Hymer is a nationally syndicated real estate columnist and author.

June 26, 2009

California's median price for an existing single-family house

By STU WOOWall Street Journal

 

SAN FRANCISCO -- California's median price for an existing single-family house rose for the third straight month, a sign that the state's battered real-estate market may be bottoming out.

 

The median sales price increased to $267,570 in May for a California home, an increase of 4.2% from April, according to a report released Thursday by the California Association of Realtors. The inventory of unsold houses continued to drop, to 4.2 months' supply in May compared with 4.6 months in April and 8.7 months in May 2008. Prices were still well below their year-ago levels, down 30.4% compared with May 2008.

 

One explanation for the increase in housing prices is that fewer foreclosed properties are among those being sold, said Kirk Lesh, an economist for California Lutheran University's Center for Economic Research and Forecasting. Banks tend to sell foreclosed houses at lower prices than do people selling their own homes.

 

California's real-estate market, the nation's largest, is seen as a barometer of the U.S. economy. Housing prices soared during the boom, and their plummet during the market's collapse resulted in massive foreclosures and fueled the recession. Economists say the state's housing market will lag behind the nation's in recovering, so any indication of improvement in California bodes well for the rest of the U.S.

 

With Thursday's report, real-estate experts said they were a bit more optimistic that the California market is healing. But they warned that the state's 11.5% unemployment rate could result in more foreclosures and drive down real-estate prices again, as could lawmakers' plan to slash more than $10 billion from state spending to close a $24 billion deficit.

 

The budget proposals include laying off thousands of state workers and cutting health and welfare programs for millions of Californians, as well as raising taxes. If enacted, they would further batter the state economy and, consequently, the housing market, said Mr. Lesh, the economist.

 

The Realtors' report also said that 556,590 California houses were sold in May, up 35.2% from a year earlier. Sales may increase in coming months because prospective buyers believe the market is at a bottom, said Robert Bridges, a professor at the University of Southern California's Marshall School of Business. "The 'buy' decision would be a wise one right now because those pricing levels are getting attractive," he said.

 

Write to Stu Woo at Stu.Woo@wsj.com